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Archer Daniels Midland

ADM Consumer Defensive Unknown Updated July 12, 2026
$80.41
52W $52.23 – $85.37
67/100
$27825.16T
36.1
0.61
Price History (6M)
AI Committee Verdict
Buy
Conviction: High · 80% agreement · 5 analysts
+3.0%
-0.2%
14.33:1
100%
Executive Summary
5 analysts weighed in with 80% agreement on a bullish lean. Portfolio Manager: Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy. Overall recommendation: BUY.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
  • Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
  • Daily trend: uptrend.
  • Weekly trend: uptrend.
  • Daily and weekly trends are both bullish — multi-timeframe alignment, highest confidence.
  • Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
  • Stochastic RSI (85.4) confirms overbought conditions.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus As of July 12, 2026
Overall Committee Score
67/100
Agreement
80%
Analysts
5
Conviction
High
Growth Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst bullish
63 / 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Macro Analyst bullish
70 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst bullish
68 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 12 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager bullish
75 / 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
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Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
66.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.380
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$80.24
Resistance
$82.83
Bollinger %B
0.93
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$78.54 Above
EMA 21
$78.18 Above
EMA 50
$77.24 Above
EMA 200
$69.48 Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
71
Growth
57
Profitability
0
Financial Health
71
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio 36.1×
P/B Ratio 1.71×
PEG Ratio -1.72
Dividend Yield 0.03%
52W High $85.37
52W Low $52.23
Quality & Growth
ROE 4.7%
ROA 3.1%
Gross Margin 5.8%
Operating Margin 1.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 0.47
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 36.1 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.7x; PEG ratio of -1.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.0%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.1%; Current ratio of 1.31 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.47; Free cash flow margin of 0.8% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (9.90); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 6.6%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (-5.4% -> -18.4% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
  • Stochastic RSI (85.4) confirms overbought conditions.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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