NASDAQ · STOCK
Autodesk
$234.31
52W $185.50 – $329.09
54/100
$49.45B
33.9
1.32
Is ADSK Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Autodesk (ADSK) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.64 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.36 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 46.5% yoy. Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.85 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 49.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 46.5% YoY — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 33.5 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 17.8x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Current ratio of 0.85 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 22.0% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 47%
of 172 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 49.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 33.5 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
77
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 46.5% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.85 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 53.7 to 54.4.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 57% to 71%.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 6 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 48->58 (+10).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
64.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
3.528
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$233.56
Resistance
$234.95
Bollinger %B
0.86
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$227.32
Above
EMA 21
$219.21
Above
EMA 50
$218.92
Above
EMA 200
$245.23
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
41
Growth
73
Profitability
1
Financial Health
43
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
33.9×
P/B Ratio
15.50×
PEG Ratio
0.73
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$329.09
52W Low
$185.50
Quality & Growth
ROE
36.9%
ROA
9.0%
Gross Margin
91.1%
Operating Margin
26.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.85
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 33.9 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 15.5x; PEG ratio of 0.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.4%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.2%; Gross margin of 0.9%; Current ratio of 0.83 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.85; Free cash flow margin of 1.0% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (12.93); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.1%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth roughly steady (+6.7% -> +4.9% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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