NASDAQ · STOCK
Ameren
$109.67
52W $96.57 – $118.32
50/100
$30.33B
19.1
0.48
Is AEE Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Ameren (AEE) Watch with a composite score of 50/100
, based on 7 analysts with 86% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +10.50 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -9.50 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee sees neither a compelling opportunity nor a clear risk at this stage. Conditions remain neutral — patience is warranted.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 2.8% pays you to wait — Value
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.66 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
50/100
Agreement
86%
Analysts
7
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 68%
of 45 Utilities peers
Value Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 2.8% pays you to wait
Growth Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.66 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
53
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 57.3 to 49.5.
- Conviction changed from moderate to high.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 71% to 86%.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst, Macro Analyst, Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 75->50 (-25); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: score 58->53 (-4).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: stance neutral->bearish; score 52->35 (-18).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
39.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.431
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$105.74
Resistance
$113.62
Bollinger %B
0.12
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$110.94
Below
EMA 21
$111.51
Below
EMA 50
$111.20
Below
EMA 200
$107.50
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
91
Growth
57
Profitability
0
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
8
Valuation
P/E Ratio
19.1×
P/B Ratio
2.22×
PEG Ratio
0.75
Dividend Yield
0.03%
52W High
$118.32
52W Low
$96.57
Quality & Growth
ROE
10.9%
ROA
3.0%
Gross Margin
41.1%
Operating Margin
24.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.11
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 19.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.2x; PEG ratio of 0.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.2%; Gross margin of 0.4%; Current ratio of 0.53 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.11; Free cash flow margin of -0.4% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is negative (-5.09); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 5.3%; EPS growth decelerating (+64.1% -> -11.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 11.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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