NASDAQ · STOCK
APA Corporation
$37.34
52W $17.86 – $45.66
63/100
$13.19B
8.7
0.35
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is APA Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates APA Corporation (APA) Buy with a composite score of 63/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated August 01, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +11.90 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -8.10 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 01, 2026
Overall Committee Score
63/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 7%
of 40 Energy peers
Growth Analyst
bullish
82
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2535.03)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 57.2 to 63.1.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased modestly from 57% to 60%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 5 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Risk Analyst, Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 66->82 (+16).
- Macro Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->70 (+12).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst abstained (was bearish at 35).
- Value Analyst abstained (was bullish at 78).
Comparing 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-01 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
67.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.304
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$36.85
Resistance
$37.79
Bollinger %B
0.96
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$36.02
Above
EMA 21
$35.39
Above
EMA 50
$35.46
Above
EMA 200
$32.17
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
97
Growth
94
Profitability
1
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
8.7×
P/B Ratio
2.05×
PEG Ratio
0.16
Dividend Yield
0.03%
52W High
$45.66
52W Low
$17.86
Quality & Growth
ROE
23.5%
ROA
7.5%
Gross Margin
48.6%
Operating Margin
32.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.70
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 8.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.0x; PEG ratio of 0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.2%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.2%; Gross margin of 0.5%; Current ratio of 0.92 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.70; Free cash flow margin of 0.4% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (4.19); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 20.6%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-2.2% -> +51.6% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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