NASDAQ · STOCK
Atmos Energy
$176.21
52W $152.80 – $192.51
61/100
$27139.52T
21.4
0.60
Price History (6M)
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Executive Summary
5 analysts weighed in with 80% agreement on a bullish lean. Portfolio Manager: Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy. Growth Analyst: Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level. Overall recommendation: BUY.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 3.8% downside vs 2.5% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Growth Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 6 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
57.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.721
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$169.54
Resistance
$180.62
Bollinger %B
0.79
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$175.11
Above
EMA 21
$173.96
Above
EMA 50
$175.29
Above
EMA 200
$173.56
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
79
Growth
50
Profitability
1
Financial Health
55
Cash Flow
8
Valuation
P/E Ratio
21.4×
P/B Ratio
1.97×
PEG Ratio
1.62
Dividend Yield
0.02%
52W High
$192.51
52W Low
$152.80
Quality & Growth
ROE
8.8%
ROA
4.2%
Gross Margin
51.4%
Operating Margin
35.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.65
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 21.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.0x; PEG ratio of 1.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.3%; Gross margin of 0.5%; Current ratio of 1.00 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.65; Free cash flow margin of -1.1% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is negative (-11.96); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.1%; EPS growth decelerating (+128.0% -> +42.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 3.8% downside vs 2.5% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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