NASDAQ · STOCK
AptarGroup
$134.03
52W $103.23 – $158.12
57/100
$8.55B
23.9
0.38
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is ATR Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates AptarGroup (ATR) Buy with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 01, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +18.40 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -1.60 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing) — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 01, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 57%
of 93 Healthcare peers
Value Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2535.03)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.9 to 56.6.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst, Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 68->48 (-20); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->70 (+12).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-01 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
58.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.199
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$131.74
Resistance
$135.79
Bollinger %B
0.74
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$133.23
Above
EMA 21
$130.30
Above
EMA 50
$126.51
Above
EMA 200
$128.11
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
79
Growth
53
Profitability
0
Financial Health
84
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
23.9×
P/B Ratio
3.25×
PEG Ratio
-4.56
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$158.12
52W Low
$103.23
Quality & Growth
ROE
14.7%
ROA
7.5%
Gross Margin
28.3%
Operating Margin
12.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.45
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 23.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.3x; PEG ratio of -4.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.3%; Current ratio of 1.61 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.45; Free cash flow margin of 0.5% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (4.86); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 3.9%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-4.8% -> +19.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -14.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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