NASDAQ · STOCK
Broadcom
$388.22
52W $281.61 – $495.00
56/100
$1.85T
62.9
1.46
Is AVGO Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Broadcom (AVGO) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.76 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.24 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — revenue growing 32.3% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 36.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 32.3% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 125.8% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 63.1 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 21.1x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 31%
of 172 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 36.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 63.1 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 32.3% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 247 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 53.7 to 56.2.
- Conviction changed from high to moderate.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 80% to 67%.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 7 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst, Macro Analyst, News Analyst.
- New analyst(s) joined: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 52->69 (+16); +2 bullish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +2 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->66 (+9); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 48->58 (+10); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst joined: neutral at 42.
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
55.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.911
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$356.46
Resistance
$414.56
Bollinger %B
0.62
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$384.11
Above
EMA 21
$384.83
Above
EMA 50
$388.04
Above
EMA 200
$360.36
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
60
Profitability
1
Financial Health
94
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
62.9×
P/B Ratio
21.07×
PEG Ratio
0.50
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$495.00
52W Low
$281.61
Quality & Growth
ROE
28.4%
ROA
13.5%
Gross Margin
67.0%
Operating Margin
43.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.74
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 62.9 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 21.1x; PEG ratio of 0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.3%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.4%; Gross margin of 0.7%; Current ratio of 2.24 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.74; Free cash flow margin of 1.0% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (6.90); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.2%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (+5.1% -> +19.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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