NASDAQ · STOCK
Avantor
$13.78
52W $7.26 – $15.93
51/100
$9.32B
-16.4
0.94
Is AVTR Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Avantor (AVTR) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.85 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.15 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 41.3% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- ROE of only -9.6% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -2.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- RSI at 79 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 91 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 41.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 80%
of 93 Healthcare peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -9.6% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− Revenue declining -2.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 79 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 41.3% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.9 to 51.1.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 57% to 71%.
- New bearish signals: 5 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 5 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: score 66->62 (-4).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +2 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
76.9
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.280
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$11.82
Resistance
$14.42
Bollinger %B
0.97
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$12.67
Above
EMA 21
$11.66
Above
EMA 50
$10.53
Above
EMA 200
$10.60
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
99
Growth
57
Profitability
0
Financial Health
91
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-16.4×
P/B Ratio
1.66×
PEG Ratio
0.33
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$15.93
52W Low
$7.26
Quality & Growth
ROE
-9.5%
ROA
-4.5%
Gross Margin
31.8%
Operating Margin
-4.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.01
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -16.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.7x; PEG ratio of 0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -0.1%; Return on assets of -0.0%; Net margin of -0.1%; Gross margin of 0.3%; Current ratio of 1.78 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.01; Free cash flow margin of 0.7% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (0.43); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 8.6%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-22.7% -> +23.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -12.5%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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