NASDAQ · STOCK
American Water Works
$134.19
52W $120.57 – $147.87
55/100
$26.66B
23.2
0.60
Is AWK Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates American Water Works (AWK) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 7 analysts with 43% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.32 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.68 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 32 articles, 14d). Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.46 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 2.6% pays you to wait — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 32 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Current ratio of 0.46 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 20%
of 45 Utilities peers
Value Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 2.6% pays you to wait
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.46 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 32 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.1 to 54.7.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 60->64 (+4); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
48.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.064
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$133.67
Resistance
$135.52
Bollinger %B
0.56
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$135.25
Below
EMA 21
$133.64
Above
EMA 50
$131.44
Above
EMA 200
$132.04
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
52
Growth
69
Profitability
0
Financial Health
28
Cash Flow
8
Valuation
P/E Ratio
23.2×
P/B Ratio
2.25×
PEG Ratio
5.60
Dividend Yield
0.03%
52W High
$147.87
52W Low
$120.57
Quality & Growth
ROE
10.2%
ROA
3.0%
Gross Margin
47.2%
Operating Margin
36.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.38
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 23.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.3x; PEG ratio of 5.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.2%; Gross margin of 0.5%; Current ratio of 0.52 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.38; Free cash flow margin of -0.4% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is negative (-5.26); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.4%; EPS growth accelerating (-17.3% -> +59.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 8.8%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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