NASDAQ · STOCK
Coherent Corp.
$262.28
52W $84.35 – $440.00
53/100
$51.43B
114.8
2.04
Is COHR Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Coherent Corp. (COHR) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.00 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.00 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 275.5% yoy. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 42.7% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- EPS growing 275.5% YoY — Growth
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 2.12 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 113.2 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 42.7% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 61%
of 172 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 113.2 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 275.5% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 42.7% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.3 to 53.0.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 43% to 57%.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 7 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, News Analyst, Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +2 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: stance neutral->bullish.
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance bearish->neutral; score 38->48 (+10).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
42.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-3.570
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$215.59
Resistance
$300.02
Bollinger %B
0.26
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$267.28
Below
EMA 21
$294.37
Below
EMA 50
$320.79
Below
EMA 200
$265.94
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
55
Growth
57
Profitability
0
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
8
Valuation
P/E Ratio
114.8×
P/B Ratio
3.83×
PEG Ratio
-0.19
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$440.00
52W Low
$84.35
Quality & Growth
ROE
0.6%
ROA
0.3%
Gross Margin
37.0%
Operating Margin
10.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.32
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 114.8 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.8x; PEG ratio of -0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.0%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.4%; Current ratio of 3.05 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.32; Free cash flow margin of -3.8% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is negative (-3.46); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 1.1%; EPS growth roughly steady (+11.2% -> +9.3% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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