NASDAQ · STOCK
CrowdStrike
$190.86
52W $85.68 – $217.50
52/100
$194.34B
—
1.24
Is CRWD Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates CrowdStrike (CRWD) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 7 analysts with 100% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.38 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.62 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee sees neither a compelling opportunity nor a clear risk at this stage. Conditions remain neutral — patience is warranted.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.17) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 25.0x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -0.6% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 19.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
100%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Unanimous
Sector Rank
Top 72%
of 172 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
43
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− Price-to-book of 25.0x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.17) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 19.3% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.7 to 51.6.
- Conviction changed from high to unanimous.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 86% to 100%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
55.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-2.165
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$100.71
Resistance
$196.38
Bollinger %B
0.46
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$186.77
Above
EMA 21
$187.32
Above
EMA 50
$176.37
Above
EMA 200
$140.24
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
51
Profitability
0
Financial Health
80
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
—
P/B Ratio
41.80×
PEG Ratio
91.42
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$217.50
52W Low
$85.68
Quality & Growth
ROE
-3.7%
ROA
-1.5%
Gross Margin
75.0%
Operating Margin
-3.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.18
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -4018.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 41.8x; PEG ratio of 91.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -0.0%; Return on assets of -0.0%; Net margin of -0.0%; Gross margin of 0.8%; Current ratio of 1.53 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.18; Free cash flow margin of 0.8% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (1.43); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.0%; EPS growth decelerating (+16.7% -> -1.8% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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