NASDAQ · STOCK
Dynatrace
$44.32
52W $31.64 – $53.20
57/100
$12.92B
82.3
0.73
Is DT Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Dynatrace (DT) Watch with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.28 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.72 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 78.5 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 21 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 78.5 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 4.2x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- EPS declining -66.4% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 24%
of 172 Technology peers
Value Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 78.5 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− EPS declining -66.4% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 21 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.5 to 56.7.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 43% to 57%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
58.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.050
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$44.02
Resistance
$45.18
Bollinger %B
0.57
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$43.62
Above
EMA 21
$43.45
Above
EMA 50
$42.41
Above
EMA 200
$42.23
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
48
Growth
57
Profitability
0
Financial Health
73
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
82.3×
P/B Ratio
5.05×
PEG Ratio
-1.23
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$53.20
52W Low
$31.64
Quality & Growth
ROE
6.2%
ROA
3.7%
Gross Margin
81.6%
Operating Margin
13.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.06
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 82.3 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.0x; PEG ratio of -1.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.8%; Current ratio of 1.35 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.06; Free cash flow margin of 0.9% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (1.77); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.4%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+0.0% -> -6.8% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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