NASDAQ · STOCK
Duolingo
$134.84
52W $87.89 – $468.00
61/100
—
14.6
0.88
Is DUOL Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Duolingo (DUOL) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.60 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.40 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 14.7 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 33.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 35.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 326.8% YoY — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 6.0x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Bollinger bandwidth of 17.6% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 3%
of 172 Technology peers
Value Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 14.7 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Price-to-book of 6.0x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
84
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 35.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 17.6% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 17 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 61.8 to 61.4.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 59->64 (+5); +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
54.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.567
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$132.69
Resistance
$137.75
Bollinger %B
0.67
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$132.04
Above
EMA 21
$128.98
Above
EMA 50
$123.61
Above
EMA 200
$158.60
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
85
Growth
88
Profitability
1
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
14.6×
P/B Ratio
4.49×
PEG Ratio
0.05
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$468.00
52W Low
$87.89
Quality & Growth
ROE
30.7%
ROA
20.8%
Gross Margin
72.1%
Operating Margin
14.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.07
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 14.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.5x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.3%; Return on assets of 0.2%; Net margin of 0.4%; Gross margin of 0.7%; Current ratio of 2.62 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.07; Free cash flow margin of 1.0% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (8.89); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 16.4%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-85.0% -> +0.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
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