NASDAQ · STOCK
DaVita
$240.04
52W $101.00 – $244.49
49/100
$15.41B
23.7
0.88
Is DVA Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates DaVita (DVA) Watch with a composite score of 49/100
, based on 7 analysts with 43% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +10.99 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -9.01 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 77.99) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 181.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 101.2x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 77.99 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 85 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 77.99) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
49/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 93%
of 93 Healthcare peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 181.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 101.2x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 77.99) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 49.0 to 49.0.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 54->61 (+8).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
66.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.709
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
0.89
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$237.61
Above
EMA 21
$232.63
Above
EMA 50
$217.41
Above
EMA 200
$173.51
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
88
Growth
38
Profitability
0
Financial Health
76
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
23.7×
P/B Ratio
-21.42×
PEG Ratio
-12.24
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$244.49
52W Low
$101.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
-114.7%
ROA
4.3%
Gross Margin
31.1%
Operating Margin
15.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
-17.50
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 23.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -21.4x; PEG ratio of -12.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -1.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.3%; Current ratio of 1.42 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -17.50; Free cash flow margin of 0.7% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (22.15); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 22.6%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+66.7% -> -15.6% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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