NASDAQ · STOCK
EchoStar
$84.11
52W $26.04 – $147.25
48/100
$13.33B
140.2
1.00
Is ECHO Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates EchoStar (ECHO) Watch with a composite score of 48/100
, based on 7 analysts with 86% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +12.42 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -7.58 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee sees neither a compelling opportunity nor a clear risk at this stage. Conditions remain neutral — patience is warranted.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 0.2x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- ROE of only -151.7% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 4.51 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Revenue declining -5.6% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.51) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.42 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
48/100
Agreement
86%
Analysts
7
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 90%
of 31 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 0.2x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -151.7% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− Revenue declining -5.6% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
33
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.51) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
− Negative filing: Termination of a material agreement (3d ago)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 47.6 to 47.6.
- Conviction changed from moderate to high.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 71% to 86%.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 6 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 46->54 (+8).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
29.8
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.019
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$65.84
Resistance
$85.30
Bollinger %B
0.09
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$87.48
Below
EMA 21
$92.48
Below
EMA 50
$101.95
Below
EMA 200
$99.26
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
46
Growth
85
Profitability
0
Financial Health
71
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
140.2×
P/B Ratio
5.56×
PEG Ratio
0.17
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$147.25
52W Low
$26.04
Quality & Growth
ROE
—
ROA
—
Gross Margin
14.1%
Operating Margin
1.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.40
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 140.2 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.6x; PEG ratio of 0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.1%; Current ratio of 1.31 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.40; Free cash flow margin of 0.7% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (1.60); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 67.5%; EPS growth accelerating (-132.7% -> +93.3% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full ECHO Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →