NASDAQ · STOCK
Emcor
$764.61
63/100
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Price History (6M)
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is EME Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Emcor (EME) Buy with a composite score of 63/100
, based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement.
Last updated July 13, 2026.
Executive Summary
7 analysts weighed in with 57% agreement on a bullish lean. News Analyst: News sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 45 articles, 14d). Overall recommendation: BUY.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily downtrend but weekly uptrend — possible early reversal but not yet confirmed on the daily.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-4.169) — bearish momentum.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 12.1% downside vs 6.4% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 13, 2026
Overall Committee Score
63/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Moderate
Value Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 38.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 25.4 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 31.7% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 15.0% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 45 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 62.1 to 63.0.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 57% to 71%.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->62 (+4).
Comparing 2026-07-12 to 2026-07-13 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
41.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-4.168
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$687.21
Resistance
$831.25
Bollinger %B
0.23
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$790.57
Below
EMA 21
$808.90
Below
EMA 50
$821.28
Below
EMA 200
$741.96
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
P/E Ratio
—
P/B Ratio
—
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
—
52W High
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52W Low
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Quality & Growth
ROE
—
ROA
—
Gross Margin
—
Operating Margin
—
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
—
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-4.169) — bearish momentum.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 12.1% downside vs 6.4% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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