NASDAQ · STOCK
FirstEnergy
$48.31
52W $42.71 – $52.34
49/100
$27.95B
25.8
0.45
Is FE Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates FirstEnergy (FE) Watch with a composite score of 49/100
, based on 7 analysts with 43% agreement.
Last updated August 01, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +10.73 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -9.27 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Growth Analyst remains cautious — eps declining -2.0% yoy despite any revenue growth. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 3.8% pays you to wait — Value
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 24 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 26.2 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 2.12 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -2.0% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 01, 2026
Overall Committee Score
49/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 82%
of 45 Utilities peers
Value Analyst
neutral
43
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 3.8% pays you to wait
− P/E of 26.2 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bearish
29
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -2.0% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.12) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 24 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2535.03)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 47.8 to 49.3.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 57% to 43%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->70 (+12).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-01 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
40.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.102
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$48.20
Resistance
$48.84
Bollinger %B
0.34
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$48.93
Below
EMA 21
$48.64
Below
EMA 50
$48.07
Above
EMA 200
$47.00
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
82
Growth
24
Profitability
0
Financial Health
6
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
25.8×
P/B Ratio
2.16×
PEG Ratio
-1.53
Dividend Yield
0.04%
52W High
$52.34
52W Low
$42.71
Quality & Growth
ROE
8.2%
ROA
1.8%
Gross Margin
53.4%
Operating Margin
18.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.24
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 25.8 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.2x; PEG ratio of -1.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.5%; Current ratio of 0.54 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.24; Free cash flow margin of 0.5% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (2.73); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 3.9%; 3 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (+35.8% -> -30.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -3.9%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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