NASDAQ · STOCK
Intel
$90.21
52W $18.97 – $142.35
51/100
$454.97B
-42.7
2.19
Is INTC Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Intel (INTC) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.78 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.22 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 248 articles, 14d). Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 42.0% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 248 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 42.0% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 78%
of 172 Technology peers
Growth Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 42.0% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 248 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 49.8 to 51.2.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased sharply from 43% to 67%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 5 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, Technical Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 52->58 (+6).
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance bearish->neutral; score 38->48 (+10).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 52).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
39.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.252
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$40.64
Resistance
$132.71
Bollinger %B
0.24
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$92.54
Below
EMA 21
$100.22
Below
EMA 50
$103.87
Below
EMA 200
$75.28
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
81
Growth
75
Profitability
0
Financial Health
82
Cash Flow
35
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-42.7×
P/B Ratio
5.26×
PEG Ratio
0.00
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$142.35
52W Low
$18.97
Quality & Growth
ROE
-0.2%
ROA
-0.1%
Gross Margin
38.9%
Operating Margin
0.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.58
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -42.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.3x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -0.0%; Return on assets of -0.0%; Net margin of -0.2%; Gross margin of 0.4%; Current ratio of 1.60 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.58; Free cash flow margin of 0.2% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (0.55); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 92.9%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+93.3% -> +44.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 320.0%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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