NASDAQ · STOCK
Jabil
$314.95
52W $189.60 – $428.93
54/100
$33.01B
38.9
1.28
Is JBL Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Jabil (JBL) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.37 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.63 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 55.8% yoy. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 2.15) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 62.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 55.8% YoY — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.31 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 37.4 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 14.5x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 2.15 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.15) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 16.8% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 53%
of 172 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 62.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 37.4 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
79
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 55.8% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.15) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 20 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 53.3 to 53.6.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 43% to 57%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +2 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance bearish->neutral; score 38->48 (+10).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
50.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.376
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$235.79
Resistance
$427.19
Bollinger %B
0.47
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$309.80
Above
EMA 21
$320.48
Below
EMA 50
$331.58
Below
EMA 200
$293.57
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
35
Growth
88
Profitability
1
Financial Health
8
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
38.9×
P/B Ratio
25.08×
PEG Ratio
0.70
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$428.93
52W Low
$189.60
Quality & Growth
ROE
43.4%
ROA
3.5%
Gross Margin
9.2%
Operating Margin
4.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.94
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 38.9 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 25.1x; PEG ratio of 0.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.4%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.1%; Current ratio of 0.98 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.94; Free cash flow margin of 0.8% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (14.28); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 0.9%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-5.6% -> +17.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full JBL Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →