NASDAQ · STOCK
Live Nation Entertainment
$174.19
52W $125.34 – $188.00
51/100
$40.52B
-158.3
1.11
Is LYV Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Live Nation Entertainment (LYV) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 7 analysts with 43% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.70 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.30 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 44 articles, 14d). Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 30.26) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 157.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 482.1 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 122.1x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 30.26 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -91.7% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 30.26) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 61%
of 31 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · High confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
+ ROE of 157.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 482.1 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -91.7% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 30.26) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 44 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 50.1 to 51.3.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 48->57 (+9).
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 60->66 (+6); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
35.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.614
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$158.31
Resistance
$175.07
Bollinger %B
-0.06
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$179.56
Below
EMA 21
$179.06
Below
EMA 50
$174.90
Below
EMA 200
$161.91
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
68
Profitability
2
Financial Health
2
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-158.3×
P/B Ratio
492.46×
PEG Ratio
6.46
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$188.00
52W Low
$125.34
Quality & Growth
ROE
183.0%
ROA
2.2%
Gross Margin
36.8%
Operating Margin
5.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
61.33
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -158.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 492.5x; PEG ratio of 6.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 1.8%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.4%; Current ratio of 0.85 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 61.33; Free cash flow margin of 0.5% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (6.03); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 56.5%; EPS growth accelerating (-74.5% -> +156.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 156.1%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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