NASDAQ · STOCK
Microsoft Corporation
$385.09
52W $349.20 – $555.45
70/100
$3697248.53T
22.9
1.13
Price History (6M)
Executive Summary
7 analysts weighed in with 71% agreement on a bullish lean. Risk Analyst: Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.26) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Overall recommendation: BUY.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
70/100
Agreement
86%
Analysts
7
Conviction
High
Value Analyst
neutral
59
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 33.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 10.8x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
79
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 29.8% YoY
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.26) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
59.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
3.259
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$384.12
Resistance
$413.05
Bollinger %B
0.76
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$382.15
Above
EMA 21
$380.76
Above
EMA 50
$389.66
Below
EMA 200
$409.96
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
62
Growth
82
Profitability
1
Financial Health
70
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
22.9×
P/B Ratio
6.90×
PEG Ratio
0.77
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$555.45
52W Low
$349.20
Quality & Growth
ROE
29.6%
ROA
16.4%
Gross Margin
68.3%
Operating Margin
46.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.30
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 22.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 6.9x; PEG ratio of 0.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.3%; Return on assets of 0.2%; Net margin of 0.4%; Gross margin of 0.7%; Current ratio of 1.28 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.30; Free cash flow margin of 0.4% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (9.82); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.1%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+0.2% -> +3.1% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 105.2%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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