NASDAQ · STOCK
Micron Technology
$818.91
52W $103.38 – $1255.00
57/100
$929.52B
18.4
2.14
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is MU Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Micron Technology (MU) Buy with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +17.87 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -2.13 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — revenue growing 167.0% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 70.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 167.0% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 700.7% YoY — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.27) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 29.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 22%
of 172 Technology peers
Value Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 70.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
bullish
71
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 167.0% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.27) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 29.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.6 to 57.1.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 57% to 71%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 5 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, News Analyst, Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +2 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 68->55 (-13).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance bearish->neutral; score 38->48 (+10).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
41.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-14.301
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$311.61
Resistance
$1254.71
Bollinger %B
0.18
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$864.86
Below
EMA 21
$909.44
Below
EMA 50
$892.38
Below
EMA 200
$593.69
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
62
Growth
69
Profitability
1
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
18.4×
P/B Ratio
9.22×
PEG Ratio
0.03
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$1255.00
52W Low
$103.38
Quality & Growth
ROE
15.8%
ROA
10.3%
Gross Margin
72.6%
Operating Margin
65.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.06
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 18.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 9.2x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.2%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.6%; Gross margin of 0.7%; Current ratio of 3.42 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.06; Free cash flow margin of 0.5% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (23.20); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 17.3%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+155.2% -> +105.8% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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