NASDAQ · STOCK
NVIDIA Corporation
$200.74
52W $164.07 – $236.54
59/100
$4.86T
30.6
2.21
Is NVDA Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Buy with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.64 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.36 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.05) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 111.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 70.7% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 110.3% YoY — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.05) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 30.0 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 28.8x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 8%
of 172 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 111.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 30.0 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
71
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 70.7% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.05) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.9 to 59.4.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 57% to 71%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, News Analyst, Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +2 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 66->60 (-6).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance bearish->neutral; score 38->48 (+10).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
49.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.075
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$194.74
Resistance
$212.19
Bollinger %B
0.40
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$199.83
Above
EMA 21
$201.67
Below
EMA 50
$203.65
Below
EMA 200
$200.05
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
46
Growth
73
Profitability
3
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
30.6×
P/B Ratio
24.94×
PEG Ratio
0.28
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$236.54
52W Low
$164.07
Quality & Growth
ROE
76.3%
ROA
58.1%
Gross Margin
74.2%
Operating Margin
64.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.07
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 30.6 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 24.9x; PEG ratio of 0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.8%; Return on assets of 0.6%; Net margin of 0.6%; Gross margin of 0.7%; Current ratio of 3.44 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.07; Free cash flow margin of 0.9% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (4.90); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 4.3%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+24.6% -> +15.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 133.0%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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