NASDAQ · STOCK
NXP Semiconductors
$229.40
52W $183.00 – $339.95
52/100
$57.79B
19.5
1.80
Is NXPI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 7 analysts with 43% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.43 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.57 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 18.9% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 26.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.84 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 5.4x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- RSI at 26 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 18.9% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 74%
of 172 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 26.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 5.4x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 26 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 18.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 53.0 to 51.6.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +2 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
19.4
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-3.888
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$207.32
Resistance
$233.52
Bollinger %B
-0.14
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$254.52
Below
EMA 21
$267.58
Below
EMA 50
$275.48
Below
EMA 200
$252.08
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
76
Growth
84
Profitability
1
Financial Health
88
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
19.5×
P/B Ratio
5.07×
PEG Ratio
0.50
Dividend Yield
0.02%
52W High
$339.95
52W Low
$183.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
20.1%
ROA
7.6%
Gross Margin
55.9%
Operating Margin
28.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.96
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 19.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.1x; PEG ratio of 0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.2%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.2%; Gross margin of 0.6%; Current ratio of 2.04 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.96; Free cash flow margin of 0.9% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (11.70); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.3%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-9.0% -> +18.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 32.7%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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