NASDAQ · STOCK
Nexstar Media Group
$183.26
52W $154.47 – $254.30
47/100
—
36.6
0.90
Explore NXST Further
Is NXST Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Nexstar Media Group (NXST) Watch with a composite score of 47/100
, based on 7 analysts with 43% agreement.
Last updated July 20, 2026.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -4.6% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- Stochastic RSI (84.7) confirms overbought conditions.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 2.3% downside vs 0.6% upside.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 20, 2026
Overall Committee Score
47/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
neutral
43
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 4.0% pays you to wait
− P/E of 34.0 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bearish
23
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -4.6% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.07) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2975.52)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 47.2 to 47.2.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-19 to 2026-07-20 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
64.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.653
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$179.97
Resistance
$185.29
Bollinger %B
0.77
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$180.72
Above
EMA 21
$178.37
Above
EMA 50
$182.27
Above
EMA 200
$193.90
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
66
Growth
64
Profitability
0
Financial Health
40
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
36.6×
P/B Ratio
2.58×
PEG Ratio
-0.49
Dividend Yield
0.04%
52W High
$254.30
52W Low
$154.47
Quality & Growth
ROE
5.3%
ROA
1.0%
Gross Margin
45.2%
Operating Margin
17.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
5.65
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 36.6 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.6x; PEG ratio of -0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.5%; Current ratio of 1.76 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 5.65; Free cash flow margin of 0.8% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (23.31); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 13.5%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+209.8% -> -23.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
- Stochastic RSI (84.7) confirms overbought conditions.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 2.3% downside vs 0.6% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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