NASDAQ · STOCK
Occidental Petroleum
$57.07
52W $38.80 – $67.45
60/100
$56.76B
13.8
0.15
Is OXY Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.88 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.12 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 11.9 is inexpensive for the broad market. Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.94 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 11.9 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value — Value
- EPS growing 47.5% YoY — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -8.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Current ratio of 0.94 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 18.2% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 10%
of 40 Energy peers
Value Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 11.9 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 47.5% YoY
− Revenue declining -8.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.94 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 44 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.7 to 60.1.
- Recommendation changed from Watch to Buy.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 5 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->69 (+10); +2 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
62.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.245
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$55.25
Resistance
$61.20
Bollinger %B
0.78
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$55.86
Above
EMA 21
$54.97
Above
EMA 50
$54.82
Above
EMA 200
$52.13
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
94
Profitability
0
Financial Health
67
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
13.8×
P/B Ratio
1.43×
PEG Ratio
0.24
Dividend Yield
0.02%
52W High
$67.45
52W Low
$38.80
Quality & Growth
ROE
6.6%
ROA
2.7%
Gross Margin
26.2%
Operating Margin
12.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.40
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 13.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.4x; PEG ratio of 0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.2%; Gross margin of 0.3%; Current ratio of 1.21 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.40; Free cash flow margin of 0.4% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (3.66); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 77.5%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-51.6% -> +241.9% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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