NASDAQ · STOCK
Paylocity
$137.92
52W $92.99 – $197.78
60/100
—
28.8
0.52
Is PCTY Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Paylocity (PCTY) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.39 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.61 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 22.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.13) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- P/E of 28.1 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 8.1x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Bollinger bandwidth of 26.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 6%
of 172 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 22.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 28.1 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
77
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.13) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 26.3% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.25 across 4 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.6 to 59.6.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 7 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 54->61 (+8).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
64.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.593
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$135.76
Resistance
$154.64
Bollinger %B
0.88
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$131.88
Above
EMA 21
$124.96
Above
EMA 50
$118.00
Above
EMA 200
$126.86
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
44
Growth
93
Profitability
1
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
28.8×
P/B Ratio
6.28×
PEG Ratio
1.75
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$197.78
52W Low
$92.99
Quality & Growth
ROE
18.4%
ROA
5.2%
Gross Margin
69.3%
Operating Margin
21.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.11
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 28.8 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 6.3x; PEG ratio of 1.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.2%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.7%; Current ratio of 0.13 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.11; Free cash flow margin of 0.9% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (8.66); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 9.4%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+5.7% -> +56.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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