NASDAQ · STOCK
Penumbra, Inc.
$321.11
52W $221.26 – $362.41
58/100
$12.63B
78.5
0.70
Is PEN Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Penumbra, Inc. (PEN) Buy with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +16.61 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -3.39 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.02) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 73.5 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- EPS growing 323.6% YoY — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.02) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 6 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 73.5 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 8.5x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 20%
of 93 Healthcare peers
Value Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 73.5 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 323.6% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.02) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 6 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.9 to 58.4.
- Conviction changed from moderate to contested.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 71% to 57%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: score 71->68 (-3); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
70.3
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.465
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$314.89
Resistance
$346.71
Bollinger %B
1.03
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$319.47
Above
EMA 21
$318.80
Above
EMA 50
$319.95
Above
EMA 200
$312.11
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
0
Growth
43
Profitability
1
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
78.5×
P/B Ratio
8.25×
PEG Ratio
11.57
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$362.41
52W Low
$221.26
Quality & Growth
ROE
12.4%
ROA
9.7%
Gross Margin
67.8%
Operating Margin
12.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.14
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 78.5 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 8.2x; PEG ratio of 11.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.7%; Current ratio of 5.75 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.14; Free cash flow margin of 0.8% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (5.49); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 19.0%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-30.5% -> +7.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 2.3%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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