NASDAQ · STOCK
Qualys
$144.69
52W $74.51 – $167.86
59/100
—
25.3
0.60
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is QLYS Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Qualys (QLYS) Buy with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +16.48 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -3.52 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 37.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 8.5x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 27.4% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 14%
of 172 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
59
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 37.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 8.5x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
77
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 27.4% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.6 to 58.5.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 57% to 71%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
49.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-3.325
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$131.81
Resistance
$142.85
Bollinger %B
0.32
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$140.57
Above
EMA 21
$140.75
Above
EMA 50
$129.74
Above
EMA 200
$119.80
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
37
Growth
83
Profitability
1
Financial Health
76
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
25.3×
P/B Ratio
8.85×
PEG Ratio
1.93
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$167.86
52W Low
$74.51
Quality & Growth
ROE
35.3%
ROA
18.1%
Gross Margin
83.2%
Operating Margin
34.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.09
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 25.3 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 8.9x; PEG ratio of 1.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.4%; Return on assets of 0.2%; Net margin of 0.3%; Gross margin of 0.8%; Current ratio of 1.43 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.09; Free cash flow margin of 1.0% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (8.16); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 6.2%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+0.5% -> +4.3% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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