NASDAQ · STOCK
Roblox Corporation
$35.63
52W $33.88 – $142.00
48/100
$25.43B
-24.9
1.41
Is RBLX Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Roblox Corporation (RBLX) Watch with a composite score of 48/100
, based on 7 analysts with 43% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +12.45 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -7.55 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 38.1% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Value Analyst remains cautious — price-to-book of 144.2x prices in significant intangible value. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Revenue growing 38.1% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.42 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 144.2x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -276.2% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 2.55 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
48/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 95%
of 172 Technology peers
Value Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− Price-to-book of 144.2x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
67
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 38.1% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bearish
39
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
33
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.55) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 52.3 to 47.5.
- New bearish signals: 7 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 83->67 (-17); +1 bearish signal(s); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +2 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance neutral->bearish; score 48->39 (-9); +3 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
15.8
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-1.515
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$35.36
Resistance
$48.41
Bollinger %B
-0.30
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$47.08
Below
EMA 21
$49.50
Below
EMA 50
$50.38
Below
EMA 200
$64.53
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
75
Profitability
0
Financial Health
1
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-24.9×
P/B Ratio
167.87×
PEG Ratio
15.22
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$142.00
52W Low
$33.88
Quality & Growth
ROE
-270.0%
ROA
-11.1%
Gross Margin
78.9%
Operating Margin
-20.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
4.40
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -24.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 167.9x; PEG ratio of 15.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -2.7%; Return on assets of -0.1%; Net margin of -0.2%; Gross margin of 0.8%; Current ratio of 0.82 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 4.40; Free cash flow margin of 0.9% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (2.54); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 25.9%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+40.0% -> +3.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 36.6%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full RBLX Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →