NASDAQ · STOCK
SBA Communications
$173.63
52W $162.41 – $235.70
46/100
—
18.2
1.00
Explore SBAC Further
Is SBAC Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates SBA Communications (SBAC) Watch with a composite score of 46/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 25, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +14.04 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -5.96 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 16.46) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- RSI at or below 30 signals oversold conditions — bullish entry bias.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.449) — bearish momentum.
- Daily trend is down — entering long positions against the trend.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Bearish candlestick pattern(s) detected: Three Black Crows.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 25, 2026
Overall Committee Score
46/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 98%
of 61 Real Estate peers
Value Analyst
bearish
39
/ 100 · High confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
+ Dividend yield of 2.9% pays you to wait
− Price-to-book of 32.3x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ EPS growing 25.9% YoY
− 4 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
41
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 16.46) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.18 across 11 articles, 14d)
− Negative filing: Termination of a material agreement (0d ago)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2893.79)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 46.0 to 46.0.
Comparing 2026-07-24 to 2026-07-25 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
26.9
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.449
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$162.85
Resistance
$195.52
Bollinger %B
0.03
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$179.34
Below
EMA 21
$183.34
Below
EMA 50
$190.19
Below
EMA 200
$198.66
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
96
Growth
13
Profitability
1
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
18.2×
P/B Ratio
-3.87×
PEG Ratio
0.71
Dividend Yield
0.03%
52W High
$235.70
52W Low
$162.41
Quality & Growth
ROE
-21.7%
ROA
9.1%
Gross Margin
63.6%
Operating Margin
47.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
-3.24
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 18.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -3.9x; PEG ratio of 0.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -0.2%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.4%; Gross margin of 0.6%; Current ratio of 0.15 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -3.24; Free cash flow margin of 0.8% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (9.62); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 4.1%; 4 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (+57.7% -> -49.9% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.449) — bearish momentum.
- Daily trend is down — entering long positions against the trend.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Bearish candlestick pattern(s) detected: Three Black Crows.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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