NASDAQ · STOCK
TKO Group Holdings
$181.82
52W $152.29 – $226.94
46/100
$13.63B
63.6
0.62
Is TKO Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates TKO Group Holdings (TKO) Watch with a composite score of 46/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +13.71 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -6.29 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 10 articles, 14d). Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 153.6 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 10 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 153.6 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 10.9x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- EPS declining -7.2% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
46/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 93%
of 31 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst
bearish
25
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 153.6 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
41
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -7.2% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 10 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 47.2 to 46.3.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 50% to 67%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
39.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.399
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$181.04
Resistance
$212.29
Bollinger %B
0.30
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$183.81
Below
EMA 21
$186.67
Below
EMA 50
$191.06
Below
EMA 200
$193.14
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
20
Growth
45
Profitability
0
Financial Health
46
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
63.6×
P/B Ratio
4.16×
PEG Ratio
5.63
Dividend Yield
0.02%
52W High
$226.94
52W Low
$152.29
Quality & Growth
ROE
5.2%
ROA
1.3%
Gross Margin
51.5%
Operating Margin
20.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.47
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 63.6 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.2x; PEG ratio of 5.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.5%; Current ratio of 1.28 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.47; Free cash flow margin of 1.0% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (22.63); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 6.7%; 3 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-117.0% -> +1500.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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