NASDAQ · STOCK
TPL
$415.57
52W $269.23 – $547.20
59/100
—
55.6
0.59
Explore TPL Further
Is TPL Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates TPL (TPL) Watch with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement.
Last updated July 20, 2026.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — quarter-over-quarter growth rate is accelerating, not just positive — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily downtrend but weekly uptrend — possible early reversal but not yet confirmed on the daily.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
Insufficient data for bear case.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 20, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Moderate
Value Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 35.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 57.1 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 21.0% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2975.52)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.5 to 59.2.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 57% to 71%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral.
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-19 to 2026-07-20 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
50.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.317
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$370.63
Resistance
$452.99
Bollinger %B
0.55
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$408.77
Above
EMA 21
$402.56
Above
EMA 50
$402.88
Above
EMA 200
$388.82
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
0
Growth
61
Profitability
2
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
55.6×
P/B Ratio
17.99×
PEG Ratio
5.88
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$547.20
52W Low
$269.23
Quality & Growth
ROE
33.0%
ROA
29.6%
Gross Margin
97.7%
Operating Margin
74.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.01
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 55.6 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 18.0x; PEG ratio of 5.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.3%; Return on assets of 0.3%; Net margin of 0.6%; Gross margin of 1.0%; Current ratio of 4.23 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.01; Free cash flow margin of 0.9% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (7.15); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.5%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+2.5% -> +15.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
Risk data not available for TPL.
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