NASDAQ · STOCK
Texas Instruments
$275.81
52W $152.73 – $334.03
47/100
$251.82B
41.7
1.31
Is TXN Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Texas Instruments (TXN) Watch with a composite score of 47/100
, based on 7 analysts with 86% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +12.76 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -7.24 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee sees neither a compelling opportunity nor a clear risk at this stage. Conditions remain neutral — patience is warranted.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 35.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.34 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 41.6 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 9.7x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 15.7% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
47/100
Agreement
86%
Analysts
7
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 97%
of 172 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 35.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 41.6 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 15.7% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
53
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 47.5 to 47.2.
- Conviction strengthened -- analysts aligned more closely.
- Committee agreement increased sharply from 57% to 86%.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 5 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +2 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: score 58->53 (-4).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance bearish->neutral; score 38->48 (+10).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
37.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.907
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$274.10
Resistance
$333.92
Bollinger %B
0.19
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$280.60
Below
EMA 21
$287.49
Below
EMA 50
$287.67
Below
EMA 200
$246.56
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
15
Growth
74
Profitability
1
Financial Health
93
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
41.7×
P/B Ratio
13.97×
PEG Ratio
2.11
Dividend Yield
0.02%
52W High
$334.03
52W Low
$152.73
Quality & Growth
ROE
30.7%
ROA
14.5%
Gross Margin
58.3%
Operating Margin
37.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.78
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 41.7 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 14.0x; PEG ratio of 2.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.3%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.3%; Gross margin of 0.6%; Current ratio of 4.86 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.78; Free cash flow margin of 0.6% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (5.87); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 9.5%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+32.3% -> +27.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 51.8%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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