NASDAQ · STOCK
Viavi Solutions
$42.81
52W $9.62 – $60.43
52/100
—
-162.5
1.19
Explore VIAV Further
Is VIAV Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Viavi Solutions (VIAV) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 20, 2026.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 40.7% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily downtrend but weekly uptrend — possible early reversal but not yet confirmed on the daily.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.489) — bearish momentum.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 20, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− ROE of only -6.9% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bullish
67
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 30.6% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 40.7% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2975.52)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.8 to 52.5.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 43% to 57%.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral.
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-19 to 2026-07-20 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
39.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.489
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$15.79
Resistance
$57.29
Bollinger %B
0.25
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$40.40
Above
EMA 21
$43.15
Below
EMA 50
$44.88
Below
EMA 200
$33.98
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
67
Growth
69
Profitability
0
Financial Health
63
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-162.5×
P/B Ratio
10.81×
PEG Ratio
0.26
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$60.43
52W Low
$9.62
Quality & Growth
ROE
4.5%
ROA
1.8%
Gross Margin
55.7%
Operating Margin
8.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.34
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -162.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 10.8x; PEG ratio of 0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.0%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of -0.0%; Gross margin of 0.6%; Current ratio of 1.61 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.34; Free cash flow margin of 0.6% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (0.20); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 14.5%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+46.7% -> +22.7% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.489) — bearish momentum.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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