NASDAQ · STOCK
Western Digital
$544.61
52W $73.14 – $799.87
55/100
$187.80B
29.2
2.17
Is WDC Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Western Digital (WDC) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +4.56 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -15.44 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 32.0% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 30.4% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 90.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 32.0% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 269.2% YoY — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 26.6 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 30.4% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 34%
of 172 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 90.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 26.6 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
84
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 32.0% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 30.4% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.8 to 55.4.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +2 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 63->57 (-7); +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
55.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.063
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$239.83
Resistance
$799.43
Bollinger %B
0.60
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$516.59
Above
EMA 21
$532.52
Above
EMA 50
$529.22
Above
EMA 200
$370.28
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
48
Growth
87
Profitability
1
Financial Health
79
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
29.2×
P/B Ratio
19.42×
PEG Ratio
0.10
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$799.87
52W Low
$73.14
Quality & Growth
ROE
35.0%
ROA
13.3%
Gross Margin
45.4%
Operating Margin
30.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.18
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 29.2 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 19.4x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.4%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.6%; Gross margin of 0.5%; Current ratio of 1.49 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.18; Free cash flow margin of 0.9% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (8.42); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 12.7%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+19.7% -> +27.7% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full WDC Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →