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WEC Energy Group

WEC Utilities Unknown Updated August 01, 2026
$109.41
52W $102.95 – $119.91
49/100
$35.64B
21.0
0.46
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
Conviction: Contested · 43% agreement · 7 analysts
+1.1%
-0.8%
1.41:1
Contested

Is WEC Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates WEC Energy Group (WEC) Watch with a composite score of 49/100 , based on 7 analysts with 43% agreement. Last updated August 01, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +11.35 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -8.65 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 1.64) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • Dividend yield of 3.3% pays you to wait — Value
  • Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
  • News sentiment is positive (+0.22 across 22 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
  • Debt-to-equity of 1.64 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
  • EPS declining -2.2% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
  • Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
  • RSI at 28 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
  • MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
  • Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of August 01, 2026
Overall Committee Score
49/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 91%
of 45 Utilities peers
Value Analyst neutral
50 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 3.3% pays you to wait
− Debt-to-equity of 1.64 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst bearish
40 / 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -2.2% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst bearish
38 / 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 28 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst bearish
32 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.64) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst bullish
70 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.22 across 22 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager neutral
45 / 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2535.03)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 48.3 to 48.6.

Analyst-level changes:
  • Macro Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->70 (+12).
  • News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
  • Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
  • Technical Analyst: stance neutral->bearish; score 48->38 (-10); +1 bearish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-01 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
28.2
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.561
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$108.59
Resistance
$110.58
Bollinger %B
-0.03
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$112.16 Below
EMA 21
$113.36 Below
EMA 50
$113.82 Below
EMA 200
$112.16 Below

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
87
Growth
48
Profitability
0
Financial Health
22
Cash Flow
8
Valuation
P/E Ratio 21.0×
P/B Ratio 2.52×
PEG Ratio -27.57
Dividend Yield 0.03%
52W High $119.91
52W Low $102.95
Quality & Growth
ROE 11.4%
ROA 3.0%
Gross Margin 62.0%
Operating Margin 24.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 1.63
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 21.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.5x; PEG ratio of -27.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.2%; Gross margin of 0.6%; Current ratio of 0.45 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.63; Free cash flow margin of -0.4% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is negative (-4.30); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 10.5%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+152.6% -> -62.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 19.7%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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Explore WEC Further

📈 Rating History 💰 Earnings 📰 Recent Events 🔄 What Changed 📖 Thesis Evolution 🔍 Similar Stocks
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