NASDAQ · STOCK
WEC Energy Group
$109.41
52W $102.95 – $119.91
48/100
$35.64B
21.0
0.46
Is WEC Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates WEC Energy Group (WEC) Watch with a composite score of 48/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +11.71 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -8.29 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.22 across 20 articles, 14d). Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 1.64) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 3.3% pays you to wait — Value
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.22 across 20 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 1.64 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -2.2% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.64) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
48/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 82%
of 45 Utilities peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 3.3% pays you to wait
− Debt-to-equity of 1.64 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -2.2% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.64) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.22 across 20 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 51.6 to 48.3.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 40% to 57%.
- New bearish signals: 7 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
- New analyst(s) joined: Risk Analyst, Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 35->40 (+5); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst joined: bearish at 32.
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst joined: neutral at 50.
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
28.2
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.561
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$108.59
Resistance
$110.58
Bollinger %B
-0.03
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$112.16
Below
EMA 21
$113.36
Below
EMA 50
$113.82
Below
EMA 200
$112.16
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
87
Growth
48
Profitability
0
Financial Health
22
Cash Flow
8
Valuation
P/E Ratio
21.0×
P/B Ratio
2.52×
PEG Ratio
-27.57
Dividend Yield
0.03%
52W High
$119.91
52W Low
$102.95
Quality & Growth
ROE
11.4%
ROA
3.0%
Gross Margin
62.0%
Operating Margin
24.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.63
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 21.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.5x; PEG ratio of -27.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.2%; Gross margin of 0.6%; Current ratio of 0.45 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.63; Free cash flow margin of -0.4% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is negative (-4.30); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 10.5%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+152.6% -> -62.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 19.7%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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