NASDAQ · STOCK
AECOM
$72.40
52W $66.28 – $135.52
55/100
$9.30B
17.2
0.93
Is ACM Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates AECOM (ACM) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 6 analysts with 83% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.44 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.56 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee sees neither a compelling opportunity nor a clear risk at this stage. Conditions remain neutral — patience is warranted.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 21.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 6.9x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Revenue declining -0.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- EPS declining -16.2% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
83%
Analysts
6
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 48%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 21.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 6.9x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -0.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.3 to 54.6.
- Conviction changed from moderate to high.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 67% to 83%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: score 65->62 (-3).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
60.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.622
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$67.66
Resistance
$78.00
Bollinger %B
0.84
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$71.34
Above
EMA 21
$70.35
Above
EMA 50
$71.75
Above
EMA 200
$86.82
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
84
Growth
87
Profitability
0
Financial Health
38
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
17.2×
P/B Ratio
4.10×
PEG Ratio
-1.90
Dividend Yield
0.02%
52W High
$135.52
52W Low
$66.28
Quality & Growth
ROE
22.5%
ROA
4.6%
Gross Margin
7.7%
Operating Margin
6.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.47
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 17.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.1x; PEG ratio of -1.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.2%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.1%; Current ratio of 1.11 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.47; Free cash flow margin of 0.7% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (3.19); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.5%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-5.1% -> +23.3% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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