NASDAQ · STOCK
MSC Industrial Direct
$126.37
52W $78.80 – $127.51
61/100
—
30.0
0.81
Explore MSM Further
Is MSM Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 6 analysts with 83% agreement.
Last updated July 20, 2026.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). The main limiting factor is sector concentration is already high (hhi 2975.52). The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Daily trend: uptrend.
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily and weekly trends are both bullish — multi-timeframe alignment, highest confidence.
- Higher Highs / Higher Lows structure confirms bullish price action.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.005) — bearish momentum.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 20, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
83%
Analysts
6
Conviction
High
Value Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 16.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 30.1 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− Weekly RSI at 92 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.22 across 9 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2975.52)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 60.3 to 60.9.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: score 62->65 (+3); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-19 to 2026-07-20 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
61.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.004
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
0.76
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$123.39
Above
EMA 21
$120.95
Above
EMA 50
$115.14
Above
EMA 200
$100.06
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
50
Growth
78
Profitability
0
Financial Health
81
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
30.0×
P/B Ratio
4.88×
PEG Ratio
1.77
Dividend Yield
0.03%
52W High
$127.51
52W Low
$78.80
Quality & Growth
ROE
14.4%
ROA
8.1%
Gross Margin
40.8%
Operating Margin
8.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.39
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 30.0 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.9x; PEG ratio of 1.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.4%; Current ratio of 1.55 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.39; Free cash flow margin of 0.7% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (3.94); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 11.7%; EPS growth accelerating (-17.2% -> +74.4% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.005) — bearish momentum.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
Get the Full MSM Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →
Mobile