NASDAQ · STOCK
Allstate
$264.27
52W $188.08 – $277.22
63/100
$67.98B
5.8
0.17
Is ALL Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Allstate (ALL) Buy with a composite score of 63/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +12.32 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -7.68 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 5.6 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 42.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 203.8% YoY — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Weekly RSI at 85 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
63/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 25%
of 141 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 5.6 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 203.8% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− Weekly RSI at 85 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.24) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 63.0 to 62.7.
- Conviction changed from moderate to contested.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 71% to 57%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 5 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 61->69 (+8); +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
59.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.656
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
0.76
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$262.43
Above
EMA 21
$254.33
Above
EMA 50
$240.96
Above
EMA 200
$218.85
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
97
Growth
56
Profitability
1
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
5.8×
P/B Ratio
2.17×
PEG Ratio
0.03
Dividend Yield
0.02%
52W High
$277.22
52W Low
$188.08
Quality & Growth
ROE
33.6%
ROA
8.6%
Gross Margin
39.8%
Operating Margin
23.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.24
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 5.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.2x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.3%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.2%; Gross margin of 0.4%; Current ratio of 0.38 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.24; Free cash flow margin of 1.0% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (44.46); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 44.7%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+28.1% -> -25.6% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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