NASDAQ · STOCK
Antero Midstream
$21.97
52W $16.96 – $23.84
47/100
$10.43B
26.2
0.61
Is AM Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Antero Midstream (AM) Watch with a composite score of 47/100
, based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement.
Last updated August 01, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +12.77 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -7.23 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 1.63) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 20.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 4.2% pays you to wait — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 25.4 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 4.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 1.63 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -0.8% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 01, 2026
Overall Committee Score
47/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 100%
of 40 Energy peers
Value Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 20.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 25.4 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
41
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -0.8% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.63) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
51
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
− News sentiment is negative (-0.20 across 10 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2535.03)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 45.9 to 47.2.
- High-conviction consensus weakened -- analysts became more divided.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 86% to 71%.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->70 (+12).
- News Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: score 50->45 (-5); +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-01 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
44.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.141
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$20.39
Resistance
$22.55
Bollinger %B
0.26
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$22.07
Below
EMA 21
$22.23
Below
EMA 50
$22.12
Below
EMA 200
$20.76
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
65
Growth
58
Profitability
1
Financial Health
18
Cash Flow
38
Valuation
P/E Ratio
26.2×
P/B Ratio
5.36×
PEG Ratio
-2.26
Dividend Yield
0.04%
52W High
$23.84
52W Low
$16.96
Quality & Growth
ROE
20.9%
ROA
7.0%
Gross Margin
62.9%
Operating Margin
56.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.86
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 26.2 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.4x; PEG ratio of -2.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.2%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.3%; Gross margin of 0.6%; Current ratio of 0.84 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.86; Free cash flow margin of 1.0% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (2.06); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 8.0%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-13.3% -> +3.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 3.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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