NASDAQ · STOCK
A. O. Smith
$60.15
52W $54.16 – $81.87
61/100
$8.33B
16.7
1.15
Is AOS Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates A. O. Smith (AOS) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.13 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.87 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 28.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.08) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 23 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 5.0x prices in significant intangible value — Value
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 6%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
59
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 28.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 5.0x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.08) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 23 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.4 to 60.9.
- Recommendation changed from Watch to Buy.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 43% to 57%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst, Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance bearish->bullish; score 40->62 (+22); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
46.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.026
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$58.87
Resistance
$62.26
Bollinger %B
0.45
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$60.82
Below
EMA 21
$60.52
Below
EMA 50
$60.52
Below
EMA 200
$64.65
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
85
Growth
70
Profitability
1
Financial Health
83
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
16.7×
P/B Ratio
3.90×
PEG Ratio
-60.30
Dividend Yield
0.02%
52W High
$81.87
52W Low
$54.16
Quality & Growth
ROE
29.4%
ROA
17.4%
Gross Margin
38.6%
Operating Margin
17.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.32
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 16.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.9x; PEG ratio of -60.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.3%; Return on assets of 0.2%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.4%; Current ratio of 1.59 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.32; Free cash flow margin of 0.9% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (4.62); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 10.4%; EPS growth accelerating (-5.6% -> +21.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -3.7%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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