NASDAQ · STOCK
Amphenol
$160.71
52W $102.76 – $178.52
59/100
$197.70B
38.3
1.24
Is APH Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Amphenol (APH) Watch with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +1.10 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -18.90 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — revenue growing 54.2% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 37.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 54.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 59.4% YoY — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 39.0 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 12.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 12%
of 172 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 37.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 39.0 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
84
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 54.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 88 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 55.3 to 58.9.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased sharply from 43% to 67%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 5 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: +2 bullish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst abstained (was bearish at 35).
- Value Analyst: score 42->48 (+7); +1 bearish signal(s); +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
60.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.086
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$126.23
Resistance
$166.89
Bollinger %B
0.72
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$155.00
Above
EMA 21
$155.67
Above
EMA 50
$153.21
Above
EMA 200
$138.70
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
36
Growth
95
Profitability
1
Financial Health
77
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
38.3×
P/B Ratio
12.76×
PEG Ratio
0.64
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$178.52
52W Low
$102.76
Quality & Growth
ROE
31.8%
ROA
11.8%
Gross Margin
38.5%
Operating Margin
27.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.21
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 38.3 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 12.8x; PEG ratio of 0.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.3%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.2%; Gross margin of 0.4%; Current ratio of 1.89 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.21; Free cash flow margin of 0.8% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (3.83); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 13.0%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+9.3% -> +27.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 66.7%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full APH Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →