NASDAQ · STOCK
Amphenol
$160.71
52W $102.76 – $178.52
61/100
$197.70B
38.3
1.24
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is APH Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Amphenol (APH) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 01, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.02 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.98 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 37.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 54.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 59.4% YoY — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 38.4 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 12.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 01, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 12%
of 172 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 37.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 38.4 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
84
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 54.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 90 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2535.03)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.9 to 61.0.
- Recommendation changed from Watch to Buy.
- Conviction changed from moderate to contested.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 67% to 50%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->70 (+12).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-01 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
60.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.086
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$126.23
Resistance
$166.89
Bollinger %B
0.72
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$155.00
Above
EMA 21
$155.67
Above
EMA 50
$153.21
Above
EMA 200
$138.70
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
36
Growth
95
Profitability
1
Financial Health
77
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
38.3×
P/B Ratio
12.76×
PEG Ratio
0.64
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$178.52
52W Low
$102.76
Quality & Growth
ROE
31.8%
ROA
11.8%
Gross Margin
38.5%
Operating Margin
27.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.21
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 38.3 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 12.8x; PEG ratio of 0.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.3%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.2%; Gross margin of 0.4%; Current ratio of 1.89 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.21; Free cash flow margin of 0.8% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (3.83); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 13.0%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+9.3% -> +27.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 66.7%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full APH Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →