NASDAQ · STOCK
Apollo Global Management
$125.64
52W $99.56 – $153.29
48/100
$72.40B
37.0
1.50
Is APO Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Apollo Global Management (APO) Watch with a composite score of 48/100
, based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +12.43 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -7.57 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee sees neither a compelling opportunity nor a clear risk at this stage. Conditions remain neutral — patience is warranted.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Revenue growing 26.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.53 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 60.6 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- EPS declining -68.2% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.04 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
48/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 96%
of 141 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 60.6 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
47
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Revenue growing 26.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− EPS declining -68.2% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.04 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 49.6 to 47.6.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased sharply from 43% to 71%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +2 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 66->60 (-6).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
63.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.736
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$118.14
Resistance
$126.40
Bollinger %B
1.03
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$122.07
Above
EMA 21
$122.02
Above
EMA 50
$123.44
Above
EMA 200
$126.84
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
59
Growth
44
Profitability
0
Financial Health
45
Cash Flow
38
Valuation
P/E Ratio
37.0×
P/B Ratio
3.75×
PEG Ratio
-0.90
Dividend Yield
0.02%
52W High
$153.29
52W Low
$99.56
Quality & Growth
ROE
19.2%
ROA
1.0%
Gross Margin
89.3%
Operating Margin
31.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.71
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 37.0 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.7x; PEG ratio of -0.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.2%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.9%; Current ratio of 0.78 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.71; Free cash flow margin of 1.0% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (10.09); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.5%; EPS growth decelerating (+13.8% -> -21.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
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