NASDAQ · STOCK
ATI Inc.
$187.47
52W $70.42 – $205.31
53/100
$25.58B
60.5
0.96
Is ATI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates ATI Inc. (ATI) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.89 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.11 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — news sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 24 articles, 14d) — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 24.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 24 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 57.9 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 8.8x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 58%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 24.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 57.9 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 24 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.7 to 53.1.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 50% to 67%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
48.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.306
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$135.49
Resistance
$204.61
Bollinger %B
0.44
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$187.76
Below
EMA 21
$189.02
Below
EMA 50
$184.17
Above
EMA 200
$148.87
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
0
Growth
78
Profitability
1
Financial Health
87
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
60.5×
P/B Ratio
14.39×
PEG Ratio
11.89
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$205.31
52W Low
$70.42
Quality & Growth
ROE
22.4%
ROA
7.9%
Gross Margin
22.5%
Operating Margin
14.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.03
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 60.5 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 14.4x; PEG ratio of 11.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.2%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.2%; Current ratio of 2.67 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.03; Free cash flow margin of 0.7% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (4.07); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 12.4%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth roughly steady (+9.4% -> +7.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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