NASDAQ · STOCK
Booz Allen Hamilton
$69.75
52W $59.50 – $114.48
49/100
$8.39B
10.9
0.36
Is BAH Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) Watch with a composite score of 49/100
, based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +10.52 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -9.48 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee sees neither a compelling opportunity nor a clear risk at this stage. Conditions remain neutral — patience is warranted.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 10.6 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 71.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.5% pays you to wait — Value
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 8.5x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 3.57 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Revenue declining -7.3% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- EPS declining -32.4% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.57) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 21.2% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
49/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 88%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ P/E of 10.6 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Price-to-book of 8.5x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -7.3% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.57) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 50.9 to 49.5.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased sharply from 43% to 71%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral.
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +2 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
57.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.921
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$68.85
Resistance
$83.87
Bollinger %B
0.76
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$68.96
Above
EMA 21
$67.68
Above
EMA 50
$69.53
Above
EMA 200
$81.60
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
72
Growth
84
Profitability
1
Financial Health
33
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
10.9×
P/B Ratio
7.00×
PEG Ratio
-0.50
Dividend Yield
0.03%
52W High
$114.48
52W Low
$59.50
Quality & Growth
ROE
77.0%
ROA
11.5%
Gross Margin
44.7%
Operating Margin
9.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
3.46
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 10.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 7.0x; PEG ratio of -0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.8%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.4%; Current ratio of 1.59 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 3.46; Free cash flow margin of 0.9% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (9.25); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 20.1%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth roughly steady (+0.6% -> +1.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 22.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full BAH Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →