NASDAQ · STOCK
Chord Energy
$140.32
52W $84.25 – $151.95
56/100
$7.90B
-133.7
0.38
Is CHRD Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Chord Energy (CHRD) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +4.06 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -15.94 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — price structure making higher highs and higher lows — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 0.7x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.8% pays you to wait — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- ROE of only -0.8% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -1.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Bollinger bandwidth of 27.7% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 50%
of 40 Energy peers
Value Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 0.7x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -0.8% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− Revenue declining -1.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.18) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 27.7% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
53
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.7 to 55.9.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 57% to 71%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: score 58->53 (-5).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
68.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.565
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$133.69
Resistance
$145.39
Bollinger %B
0.85
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$134.87
Above
EMA 21
$130.72
Above
EMA 50
$129.55
Above
EMA 200
$120.97
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
96
Growth
83
Profitability
0
Financial Health
59
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-133.7×
P/B Ratio
0.99×
PEG Ratio
1.25
Dividend Yield
0.04%
52W High
$151.95
52W Low
$84.25
Quality & Growth
ROE
0.5%
ROA
0.3%
Gross Margin
16.1%
Operating Margin
3.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.20
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -133.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.0x; PEG ratio of 1.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.0%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of -0.0%; Gross margin of 0.2%; Current ratio of 1.02 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.20; Free cash flow margin of 0.3% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (8.83); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 43.7%; EPS growth accelerating (-45.5% -> +256.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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