NASDAQ · STOCK
C.H. Robinson
$147.75
52W $111.74 – $210.33
49/100
$17.41B
27.8
0.92
Is CHRW Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates C.H. Robinson (CHRW) Watch with a composite score of 49/100
, based on 7 analysts with 43% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +10.57 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -9.43 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 32.9% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 33.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 29.5 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 10.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Revenue declining -6.7% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- RSI at 17 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
49/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 89%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 33.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 29.5 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -6.7% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 17 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 32.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 50.5 to 49.4.
- New bearish signals: 6 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 5 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
18.0
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-6.581
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$124.34
Resistance
$190.09
Bollinger %B
-0.06
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$172.54
Below
EMA 21
$182.93
Below
EMA 50
$184.26
Below
EMA 200
$168.62
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
43
Growth
87
Profitability
1
Financial Health
65
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
27.8×
P/B Ratio
10.76×
PEG Ratio
1.42
Dividend Yield
0.02%
52W High
$210.33
52W Low
$111.74
Quality & Growth
ROE
31.8%
ROA
11.6%
Gross Margin
10.1%
Operating Margin
4.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.21
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 27.8 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 10.8x; PEG ratio of 1.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.3%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.1%; Current ratio of 1.58 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.21; Free cash flow margin of 1.0% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (5.64); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.5%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+9.8% -> +19.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 24.8%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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