NASDAQ · STOCK
Cleveland-Cliffs
$11.93
52W $7.73 – $16.70
53/100
—
-7.1
2.13
Explore CLF Further
Is CLF Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 25, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.39 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.61 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 19.5% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- RSI at or above 70 signals overbought conditions — bearish entry bias.
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Bullish candlestick pattern(s) detected: Three White Soldiers.
- Bullish candlestick patterns signal potential reversal or continuation of upside.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- RSI is overbought at 79.4 — momentum may be exhausted.
- Stochastic RSI (100.0) confirms overbought conditions.
- Daily trend is down — entering long positions against the trend.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 25, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 67%
of 49 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.2x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -20.9% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 19.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 45 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2893.79)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.6 to 52.6.
Comparing 2026-07-24 to 2026-07-25 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
79.4
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.281
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$11.74
Resistance
$15.05
Bollinger %B
1.35
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$10.19
Above
EMA 21
$10.22
Above
EMA 50
$10.64
Above
EMA 200
$10.94
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
63
Profitability
0
Financial Health
74
Cash Flow
16
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-7.1×
P/B Ratio
1.22×
PEG Ratio
-0.09
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$16.70
52W Low
$7.73
Quality & Growth
ROE
-24.2%
ROA
-7.4%
Gross Margin
-0.8%
Operating Margin
-3.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.37
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -7.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.2x; PEG ratio of -0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -0.2%; Return on assets of -0.1%; Net margin of -0.0%; Gross margin of -0.0%; Current ratio of 1.89 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.37; Free cash flow margin of 3.4% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is negative (-1.50); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.3%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (+4.5% -> +52.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 79.4%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
- RSI is overbought at 79.4 — momentum may be exhausted.
- Stochastic RSI (100.0) confirms overbought conditions.
- Daily trend is down — entering long positions against the trend.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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