NASDAQ · STOCK
International Paper
$42.20
52W $29.26 – $56.13
54/100
—
-6.6
0.90
Explore IP Further
Is IP Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates International Paper (IP) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 6 analysts with 83% agreement.
Last updated July 25, 2026.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing) — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- RSI at or above 70 signals overbought conditions — bearish entry bias.
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- RSI is overbought at 77.8 — momentum may be exhausted.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 25, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
83%
Analysts
6
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 59%
of 49 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -20.4% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− Revenue declining -5.8% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2893.79)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 53.9 to 53.9.
Comparing 2026-07-24 to 2026-07-25 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
77.8
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.171
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$37.46
Resistance
$49.64
Bollinger %B
1.33
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$38.33
Above
EMA 21
$37.57
Above
EMA 50
$36.53
Above
EMA 200
$39.05
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
48
Profitability
0
Financial Health
64
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-6.6×
P/B Ratio
1.55×
PEG Ratio
0.03
Dividend Yield
0.04%
52W High
$56.13
52W Low
$29.26
Quality & Growth
ROE
-23.7%
ROA
-9.3%
Gross Margin
27.8%
Operating Margin
-10.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.64
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -6.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.6x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -0.2%; Return on assets of -0.1%; Net margin of -0.1%; Gross margin of 0.3%; Current ratio of 1.21 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.64; Free cash flow margin of 0.2% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (1.01); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.4%; EPS growth accelerating (+81.4% -> +287.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
- RSI is overbought at 77.8 — momentum may be exhausted.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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